Mountaineer goes off @ 7:00pm
Muddy track
Race #8 H8p 90/92 Beyer speed/My rating ML= 7/2
Race #9 H7p 103/109 Beyer Speed/My rating ML= 7/2
Race #5 is one of those 4 horse = E(v) races just don't know. H(2,3,4,8)
I Will be looking for longer prices. My be Race 5 will provide it?
Race #8 H8 covers spbr 1,2,3,4 - 6,7,8 strategy # 5 post position. I'll let this one go.
Race #9 H7 covers spbr 1,2,3,4, - 6,7, - #5 I'll let go. #8 track condition? last race was on a fast track I would like to see this race on a fast track for this horse. But I will let it go. these are place bets. #7 in the 9 my be a public sleeper @ odds even 2/1 would be OK with me. But I think it will be short. (shorter) Just don't know. Race #5 intrigues me from a mathematical point of view. I am going to check E(v) at post time for value and exacta prices on a combo. From here it looks like a 3,8. How do I know! I don't at this point.
Monday, March 30, 2009
Handicapping
Neither I or anyone else can tell you how to handicap. No one can tell you how to think or reason. The best I can do is provide the tools for logical analysis. How you use these tools is up to you.
I've presented some of the tools I use to handicap a card. My perspective is I don't want to spend all day figuring out Minuit nuances that have a very small effect on a race. So what I have done is list a set of strategies that can be used with a fair degree of certainty to point to the outcome of the race. A road map of sorts. But in the end it is up to the horse and you.
The goal appears to be a simple one: Achieve success at the racetrack!
I think we have set out in the right direction.
Remember parimutuel betting is you against the rest of the punters.
I've presented some of the tools I use to handicap a card. My perspective is I don't want to spend all day figuring out Minuit nuances that have a very small effect on a race. So what I have done is list a set of strategies that can be used with a fair degree of certainty to point to the outcome of the race. A road map of sorts. But in the end it is up to the horse and you.
The goal appears to be a simple one: Achieve success at the racetrack!
I think we have set out in the right direction.
Remember parimutuel betting is you against the rest of the punters.
The Short Price
You can see the difficulty of short prices. And why action junkies can't place a horse using a short price. Anything after the first "place price" say $2.60 that looses destroys your profit. You need 4 place hits to cover your loss. So if we can find a comfortable horse to bet on and leave it at that then one short horse is enough. After all $200 at $2.60 is $60. Not going to make you rich. But you get the satisfaction your handicapping was correct and a boost in your ego I suspect. I Don't suggest a $200 bet size. It just an example of my principle of a PROFIT is a PROFIT. Even a 60 cent profit.
The Penn race was a sloppy track, lots of mud. Prior races were on a fast track. So we can see that a quality horse can win a race. But I am going to add a rule to SBPr Same track conditions as previous race.
What we have as far as tracks is:
1. Same track condition as last race fast = fast.
2. Same distance as last race 6f = 6f
A finish of 1st or 2nd means our horse doesn't mind the distance. A little leeway say 5 1/2 to 6f is probably OK. So I'm adding Same track condition.
I also am looking at using just a fast track as a SBPr
If we open the DRF we see a lot of information that we are not using at this time. I don't want to get into paralyses by analysis. Their are other factors such as Beyer's speed, class, running line etc. As for Beyer's speed our picks generally fall in the higher speed figures 80+. As far as class, a 5,000 clm moving to 7,500 clm and in our rating system as a bet is not a jump out of class. I mean lets use common sense. 5,000 to 15,000 ok I'd wonder. I think most of our picks will be small movements within reason. A large up or down means something else is going on and I don't want to have to reason it out. We are looking for a handicapping strategy that takes culls out a horse's specific attributes for that race.
So lets look at our pick Strategy:
1. No shippers - last race at same track.
2. Same distance +/-, plus - minus what? We will talk about it. 6f -5 1/2f vs/vs example.
3. Top % jockey. What % makes sense. 15% and above. I think 10% is OK.
4. Field of 12 or less.
5. Post position 4 or better. Might consider 6 in field of 10, 11, 12
6. Won or placed in it last race. 3rd if it was within 1 length.
7. Raced in the past 21 days remember at the same track. Might look at 30 days.
8. Same track condition Fst = Fst
Remember our strategy's rules are to get us to 25% win @4-1/3-1 coverage.
See you next time.
The Penn race was a sloppy track, lots of mud. Prior races were on a fast track. So we can see that a quality horse can win a race. But I am going to add a rule to SBPr Same track conditions as previous race.
What we have as far as tracks is:
1. Same track condition as last race fast = fast.
2. Same distance as last race 6f = 6f
A finish of 1st or 2nd means our horse doesn't mind the distance. A little leeway say 5 1/2 to 6f is probably OK. So I'm adding Same track condition.
I also am looking at using just a fast track as a SBPr
If we open the DRF we see a lot of information that we are not using at this time. I don't want to get into paralyses by analysis. Their are other factors such as Beyer's speed, class, running line etc. As for Beyer's speed our picks generally fall in the higher speed figures 80+. As far as class, a 5,000 clm moving to 7,500 clm and in our rating system as a bet is not a jump out of class. I mean lets use common sense. 5,000 to 15,000 ok I'd wonder. I think most of our picks will be small movements within reason. A large up or down means something else is going on and I don't want to have to reason it out. We are looking for a handicapping strategy that takes culls out a horse's specific attributes for that race.
So lets look at our pick Strategy:
1. No shippers - last race at same track.
2. Same distance +/-, plus - minus what? We will talk about it. 6f -5 1/2f vs/vs example.
3. Top % jockey. What % makes sense. 15% and above. I think 10% is OK.
4. Field of 12 or less.
5. Post position 4 or better. Might consider 6 in field of 10, 11, 12
6. Won or placed in it last race. 3rd if it was within 1 length.
7. Raced in the past 21 days remember at the same track. Might look at 30 days.
8. Same track condition Fst = Fst
Remember our strategy's rules are to get us to 25% win @4-1/3-1 coverage.
See you next time.
Sunday, March 29, 2009
Penn Completed
Well,
Race #8 $0.00 #2 was in the money Showed
Race #9 $0.00
So out of 7 races collected 3 lost 4 for 42% pick
R#1 #1 won
R#3 #1 won
R#4 #5 won
R#5 #6 in the money
R#8 #2 in the money
To review: handicapped 7 races
Picked 3 42%
Lost 4 of the 4 lost 2 ended in the money (almost doesn't count)
2 out of the money
The 3 wins came in first. Won their races we needed them to only place. Not Bad!
Race #8 $0.00 #2 was in the money Showed
Race #9 $0.00
So out of 7 races collected 3 lost 4 for 42% pick
R#1 #1 won
R#3 #1 won
R#4 #5 won
R#5 #6 in the money
R#8 #2 in the money
To review: handicapped 7 races
Picked 3 42%
Lost 4 of the 4 lost 2 ended in the money (almost doesn't count)
2 out of the money
The 3 wins came in first. Won their races we needed them to only place. Not Bad!
Saturday, March 28, 2009
Penn Partial Results
Remember we are refining and perfecting our SPBr to get the best results in a system that can pick horses that w/p with 3-1 / 4-1 results. So we are learning to read the DRF and come up with horses that make the grade in our list.
Here are the partial results from Penn National 3/28/2009
Race #1 H1 won we hit for $2.60/p
Race #2 $0.00
Race #3 H1 won we hit for $2.40/p
Race #4 H5 won we hit for $2.60/p
Race #5 $0.00
------------------------------------------
So far 5 races we are 3 for 5 60%
So we are ahead of our goal of 25% win so far, but it is very early in our system. Also we are picking short priced horses. But think of it this way. Find one race with a short price say place pays $2.40 So on a $2.00 bet we get back $2.40 for a .40cent profit. Notice I said PROFIT. The current thinking goes short prices are not worth a bet because the tracks take is to high. Yes as we are seeing a list of short price wins gets wiped out with one loss. But the object is to find that one win per card. Short or not one we can bet with certainty.
So our one win at $2.40 PROFIT can be it. After all 20% is 20% Instead of short prices lets look at percentage wins and percentage PROFIT. So with Penn we would not play the whole card. We would look for that one high prob win in the place spot.
Here are the partial results from Penn National 3/28/2009
Race #1 H1 won we hit for $2.60/p
Race #2 $0.00
Race #3 H1 won we hit for $2.40/p
Race #4 H5 won we hit for $2.60/p
Race #5 $0.00
------------------------------------------
So far 5 races we are 3 for 5 60%
So we are ahead of our goal of 25% win so far, but it is very early in our system. Also we are picking short priced horses. But think of it this way. Find one race with a short price say place pays $2.40 So on a $2.00 bet we get back $2.40 for a .40cent profit. Notice I said PROFIT. The current thinking goes short prices are not worth a bet because the tracks take is to high. Yes as we are seeing a list of short price wins gets wiped out with one loss. But the object is to find that one win per card. Short or not one we can bet with certainty.
So our one win at $2.40 PROFIT can be it. After all 20% is 20% Instead of short prices lets look at percentage wins and percentage PROFIT. So with Penn we would not play the whole card. We would look for that one high prob win in the place spot.
Horse math
An aside note:
What do we do if we like say 4 horses in a race? We can't find a good reason to eliminate any.
Hypothetically speaking:
Suppose joe public odds for our horses are:
A) 3-1
B) 7-2
C) 8-1
D) 6-1
Lets suppose we rate each of these horses as equals. Do we pass this race. 8-1 and 6-1 are within our goal of 4-1 or better! How can we decide.
Lets look at it from an expected value point of view. E(v) expectation, edge. What ever you want to call it. Me I like E(v)
How many times do we find our winner form among our top 4 picks? Lets say its 75% of the time. This says that each of our horses has a 18.75% chance of winning. This is aprox 9-2 odds for each horse. Now lets calculate our E(v) for this situation.
E(A) .1875 x 3 - .8125 = -.25
E(B) .1875 x 3.5 - .8125 = -.16 please note 7-2 = 3.5-1
E(C) .1875 x 8 - .8125 = .68
E(D) .1875 x 6 - .8125 = .31
We run like the wind from horses A and B they give -neg expectation -E(v) therefore we would consider only horses C and D. A win bet on C is our best bet. If we are Conservative we can bet both C and D and still have a +E(v) on our bets. Something to think about.
Remember our value comes from our win pool prob of 75% picking winners from our top 4 choices when they have equally likely outcomes to win. In our minds anyway.
See you at the races. By the way at 9-2 what is a fair exacta price? Hint figure out the prob of (2) two 9-2 horses coming in together and change to odds. But remember we don't want fair prices we want more then fair.
What do we do if we like say 4 horses in a race? We can't find a good reason to eliminate any.
Hypothetically speaking:
Suppose joe public odds for our horses are:
A) 3-1
B) 7-2
C) 8-1
D) 6-1
Lets suppose we rate each of these horses as equals. Do we pass this race. 8-1 and 6-1 are within our goal of 4-1 or better! How can we decide.
Lets look at it from an expected value point of view. E(v) expectation, edge. What ever you want to call it. Me I like E(v)
How many times do we find our winner form among our top 4 picks? Lets say its 75% of the time. This says that each of our horses has a 18.75% chance of winning. This is aprox 9-2 odds for each horse. Now lets calculate our E(v) for this situation.
E(A) .1875 x 3 - .8125 = -.25
E(B) .1875 x 3.5 - .8125 = -.16 please note 7-2 = 3.5-1
E(C) .1875 x 8 - .8125 = .68
E(D) .1875 x 6 - .8125 = .31
We run like the wind from horses A and B they give -neg expectation -E(v) therefore we would consider only horses C and D. A win bet on C is our best bet. If we are Conservative we can bet both C and D and still have a +E(v) on our bets. Something to think about.
Remember our value comes from our win pool prob of 75% picking winners from our top 4 choices when they have equally likely outcomes to win. In our minds anyway.
See you at the races. By the way at 9-2 what is a fair exacta price? Hint figure out the prob of (2) two 9-2 horses coming in together and change to odds. But remember we don't want fair prices we want more then fair.
Penn National
Well here we go, I used the 7 rules I outlined last time out. I handicapped Penn National for 3/28/2009 goes off at 6:4PM
These are place bets, they are not 4-1 shots. We are just testing some theories on selection methods. Let see how they do!
Race #1 H1 $2/p also liked #5
Race #2 H5 $2/p also liked #4
Race #3 H1 $2/p
Race #4 H5 $2/p breaks rule #5
Race #5 H6 $2/p breaks rule #5
Pass #6
Pass #7
Race #8 H2 $2/p
Race #9 H11 $2/p breaks rule #5
Total: $14.00
These will more then likely be short priced horses. 2/5 - 2/1 price I think! Very short. But remember 30% is 30% Mr. Broker man. I wish my IRA did as well. Might be surprised.
Remember this is a test of selection process. We will refine it as we go. We are looking to grease it down to One(1) super prime bet per card. "SPB" We are not Action Junkies........Refine the 7 rules. Now to be called SPB rules.
So off to the races. Don't forget your blinkers.
These are place bets, they are not 4-1 shots. We are just testing some theories on selection methods. Let see how they do!
Race #1 H1 $2/p also liked #5
Race #2 H5 $2/p also liked #4
Race #3 H1 $2/p
Race #4 H5 $2/p breaks rule #5
Race #5 H6 $2/p breaks rule #5
Pass #6
Pass #7
Race #8 H2 $2/p
Race #9 H11 $2/p breaks rule #5
Total: $14.00
These will more then likely be short priced horses. 2/5 - 2/1 price I think! Very short. But remember 30% is 30% Mr. Broker man. I wish my IRA did as well. Might be surprised.
Remember this is a test of selection process. We will refine it as we go. We are looking to grease it down to One(1) super prime bet per card. "SPB" We are not Action Junkies........Refine the 7 rules. Now to be called SPB rules.
So off to the races. Don't forget your blinkers.
Another Day another dollar. Almost.....
Well as you can see 50/50 on that one. But my point is my handicapping process allowed me to process 2 bets with confidence. I went into it solid.
As it is 2/5 odds are short...... to short. It payed $2.60 which means I made .60 cents on $2.00. Paired with a $5.00 loss created a monetary downfall of Nations of (-$3.00)
OK, look at it this way.
60 cents is a 30% profit! And any broker would be jumping of his desk with a return like that. So to my thinking a +ROI is a +ROI.......But it is hard to get my girlfriend excited about 60 cents.
My premise is 25% win rate at 4-1 odds. Didn't quit make it. At this point our interest is in producing a handicapping procedure that finds winners to bet on. We will refine it from there.
At this point my procedure is taking shape! Lets call these rules. But not set in stone! And only using "Daily Racing Form" info.
1. No shippers - last race at same track.
2. Same distance +/-, plus - minus what? We will talk about it.
3. Top % jockey. What % makes sense. 15% and above.
4. Field of 12 or less.
5. Post position 4 or better.
6. Won or placed in it last race. 3rd if it was within 1 length.
7. Raced in the past 21 days remember at the same track.
One of the things to think about is, if you read about racing stats it seems that most stats fall within th 6% - 20% range.
6% jockeys, 12% trainers, 15% this 9% that. An interesting exercise is to find stats or information that adds to our handicapping prowess that falls outside of these %s. Remember same info = same results. Just a thought.
I hate to use the term rules, because in this game they are meant to be broken and modified within reason. But they are their to keep us in the common sense area of our handicapping. Also what about Beyer's Speed figs? Where do they fit in?
The joe public (who we are betting against, by the way) will use the same info as I have presented here. Our goal is to find a way that uses it in a unique way. And find betting opps that meet our disciplined approach to horse racing. We are not action junkies.
We don't play this game in a vacuum, no matter how hard you try. Things happen! You know the drill. So it is important to be prepared and ready for handicapping. Prep Will relieve some of the pre-race anxiety that befalls us about 5 min to post. Also notice I haven't talked about track take, breakage, taxes etc.......these thing take a bite out of our winnings to be sure. But you can't change them, only control them. And you control them by deciding what position you are willing to take. Remember 30% is 30%. So you decide and I will talk about some of the theories about them in future posts.
As it is 2/5 odds are short...... to short. It payed $2.60 which means I made .60 cents on $2.00. Paired with a $5.00 loss created a monetary downfall of Nations of (-$3.00)
OK, look at it this way.
60 cents is a 30% profit! And any broker would be jumping of his desk with a return like that. So to my thinking a +ROI is a +ROI.......But it is hard to get my girlfriend excited about 60 cents.
My premise is 25% win rate at 4-1 odds. Didn't quit make it. At this point our interest is in producing a handicapping procedure that finds winners to bet on. We will refine it from there.
At this point my procedure is taking shape! Lets call these rules. But not set in stone! And only using "Daily Racing Form" info.
1. No shippers - last race at same track.
2. Same distance +/-, plus - minus what? We will talk about it.
3. Top % jockey. What % makes sense. 15% and above.
4. Field of 12 or less.
5. Post position 4 or better.
6. Won or placed in it last race. 3rd if it was within 1 length.
7. Raced in the past 21 days remember at the same track.
One of the things to think about is, if you read about racing stats it seems that most stats fall within th 6% - 20% range.
6% jockeys, 12% trainers, 15% this 9% that. An interesting exercise is to find stats or information that adds to our handicapping prowess that falls outside of these %s. Remember same info = same results. Just a thought.
I hate to use the term rules, because in this game they are meant to be broken and modified within reason. But they are their to keep us in the common sense area of our handicapping. Also what about Beyer's Speed figs? Where do they fit in?
The joe public (who we are betting against, by the way) will use the same info as I have presented here. Our goal is to find a way that uses it in a unique way. And find betting opps that meet our disciplined approach to horse racing. We are not action junkies.
We don't play this game in a vacuum, no matter how hard you try. Things happen! You know the drill. So it is important to be prepared and ready for handicapping. Prep Will relieve some of the pre-race anxiety that befalls us about 5 min to post. Also notice I haven't talked about track take, breakage, taxes etc.......these thing take a bite out of our winnings to be sure. But you can't change them, only control them. And you control them by deciding what position you are willing to take. Remember 30% is 30%. So you decide and I will talk about some of the theories about them in future posts.
Friday, March 27, 2009
How Did I Do
Race #1 #4 place payed $2.60 $1.4 x $5.00 = $7.00 +$2.00 odds 2/5 short.............short......
Race #2 Lost $0.00 -$5.00 $0.0 x $5.00 = $0.00 -$5.00
Total won 1 Total lost 1 1/2 = .5 Percent 50% Amount: +/- (-$3.00) stake $100 - 3.00 = $97
Race #2 Lost $0.00 -$5.00 $0.0 x $5.00 = $0.00 -$5.00
Total won 1 Total lost 1 1/2 = .5 Percent 50% Amount: +/- (-$3.00) stake $100 - 3.00 = $97
Aqueduct
Just a short note and prognostication for Aqueduct:
Date: March 27, 2009
Race #1 Horse #4 Special Trip Place $5.00 Rating 93
Race #2 Horse #3 Api Mohkat Place $5.00 Rating 96
So we'll see! Stake $100
Date: March 27, 2009
Race #1 Horse #4 Special Trip Place $5.00 Rating 93
Race #2 Horse #3 Api Mohkat Place $5.00 Rating 96
So we'll see! Stake $100
Thursday, March 26, 2009
Lay Horse Beting
Learn about Lay betting in UK.....
Here are the free UK Irish Horse racing Lay selections for Thursday 26th March 2009. All of the below Horses should be laid in the win only market on Betfair or another similar betting exchange, and are intended as part of a longer ...
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Here are the free UK Irish Horse racing Lay selections for Thursday 26th March 2009. All of the below Horses should be laid in the win only market on Betfair or another similar betting exchange, and are intended as part of a longer ...
Blog Marketing
Everybody Wants to Win, "At the Races"
Here's a fact "Everybody wants to Win". But here's the rub.....If you use the same information that everybody uses and the same handicapping procedure everybody else uses....you will loose just like everybody else.
This is why it is imperative that you learn the REASONS that you are using a particular type of information. Not just because it sounds good and someone else said it works 95% of the time. The truth is if it worked 25% of the time at 4-1 odds with proper money management you would be getting rich (slowly) and not selling information for pennies. Let me repeat (25% win rate at 4-1 odds). That's loose 3 win 1 you would be getting rich at the rate of $1.00 a win......Think about that.
Lets ask: What information can I use that will produce the results I want to achieve? In a sense its backward engineering. Start with the question, "What results am I looking for?" Simplistic, yes and no! If your answer is to "win" Then your results will be fraught with disappointment. More likely your answer should be +ROI. How do I use the information I have to produce a +ROI in the market place (racetrack). Remember using the same information the same way everyone else does will not produce a +ROI. This is because its foundation is based on a faulty premise. "That information is equally valid." No-where can this be less true then at horse racing. So our goal is to learn how to produce a +ROI and handicap sanely.
Until next time. Where we will talk about the factors that effect your ROI.
This is why it is imperative that you learn the REASONS that you are using a particular type of information. Not just because it sounds good and someone else said it works 95% of the time. The truth is if it worked 25% of the time at 4-1 odds with proper money management you would be getting rich (slowly) and not selling information for pennies. Let me repeat (25% win rate at 4-1 odds). That's loose 3 win 1 you would be getting rich at the rate of $1.00 a win......Think about that.
Lets ask: What information can I use that will produce the results I want to achieve? In a sense its backward engineering. Start with the question, "What results am I looking for?" Simplistic, yes and no! If your answer is to "win" Then your results will be fraught with disappointment. More likely your answer should be +ROI. How do I use the information I have to produce a +ROI in the market place (racetrack). Remember using the same information the same way everyone else does will not produce a +ROI. This is because its foundation is based on a faulty premise. "That information is equally valid." No-where can this be less true then at horse racing. So our goal is to learn how to produce a +ROI and handicap sanely.
Until next time. Where we will talk about the factors that effect your ROI.
Betting The Horse
Tell Me More: Online Horse Betting
Yet another game is online Horse racing betting. In the Horse race, you can bet the Horse that will get you money if it comes first. Before betting on Horse racing through online you should learn something like how these bets work Right ...
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Wednesday, March 25, 2009
Can You Win
Back on April 26, 2007 I wrote a post about the basic 3 things every punter needs to have. So if you need to, take a look at them and decide which one(s) you need.
If you look around the web you will find hundreds if not thousands of sites proclaiming the holy grail of horse racing. But I tell you a truth. You can get along for a short time with just 2 of the 3 things. But if your missing one of them, and I'll let you guess which one, your doomed!
OK, onto the next thing. "Basic Track Knowledge"
1. Win - Place - Show. What do they mean?
2. Know how to place a bet at the window.
3. Shippers, maidens, key race, box, wheel, straight, exotics. (huh)!
4. Punter?
Over whelmed yet? If you don't know any of these terms and the many more. Learn them, get a basic book. E-books abound on the web. Don' think you can just get away with a tipster service and leave it at that. Do what- get an e-mail to tell you make this bet. Retire rich, no work. Listen I've tried it all. Been there done that so to speak. Their are some great sites out there to to help you get all the information you need to start your horse racing adventure. And make no mistake it is an adventure.
Oh, by the way don't forget "Discipline" If you have it, you will learn the basics before your first loss. That way you will have an idea of how to change your plan and maybe win the next time.
Until next time - Don't forget muddy tracks. And we will talk about W/P/S and maybe a few of my favorite websites......
If you look around the web you will find hundreds if not thousands of sites proclaiming the holy grail of horse racing. But I tell you a truth. You can get along for a short time with just 2 of the 3 things. But if your missing one of them, and I'll let you guess which one, your doomed!
OK, onto the next thing. "Basic Track Knowledge"
1. Win - Place - Show. What do they mean?
2. Know how to place a bet at the window.
3. Shippers, maidens, key race, box, wheel, straight, exotics. (huh)!
4. Punter?
Over whelmed yet? If you don't know any of these terms and the many more. Learn them, get a basic book. E-books abound on the web. Don' think you can just get away with a tipster service and leave it at that. Do what- get an e-mail to tell you make this bet. Retire rich, no work. Listen I've tried it all. Been there done that so to speak. Their are some great sites out there to to help you get all the information you need to start your horse racing adventure. And make no mistake it is an adventure.
Oh, by the way don't forget "Discipline" If you have it, you will learn the basics before your first loss. That way you will have an idea of how to change your plan and maybe win the next time.
Until next time - Don't forget muddy tracks. And we will talk about W/P/S and maybe a few of my favorite websites......
Horse racing News
horse racing: News and best bets plus our tipping contest Sport .
Greg Wood: The latest news and best bets for today in our daily racing blog, plus our tipping contest.
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I want Revenge
I Want Revenge Continues Preparations for Wood Memorial
Click here for the Safest Online horse Betting . I Want Revenge is coming along nicely as he prepares for his run in the Wood Memorial coming up in a few weeks. Preparing for the Grade 1 Wood Memorial at Aqueduct on April 4th, I Want Revenge had a great practice run, traveling 58.20 seconds on Sunday at the Cushion Track in Hollywood Park. Also tuning up is an unraced three-year old named I Want My Money. I Want Revenge had jockey Joe Talamo riding and is trained by Jeff Mullins. Th
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Against The Spread
Against The Spread: Run for the Derby Preview
Just over five weeks until the ladies sing; My Olde Kentucky Home, and the bugle will blare; Call to the Post; proclaiming the long awaited start of the 135th run for the roses. This run is special, and I plan on covering it every step of the way. Just like the NCAA basketball tourney, the Derby already has its top four contenders. The odds makers like Old Fashioned (9 to 1), Quality Road (12 to 1), Pioneer of the Nile (14 to 1), and Dunkirk (15 to 1).� I have my own preliminary top four:
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